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At present, all policies are winning numbers's, and they are constantly exerting their strength, and the medium and long-term trends are also intact, so we are still optimistic in the medium and long term. For short-term fluctuations, we should keep calm, see the trend clearly and grasp the key points, so that we can calmly handle complex trends.Analysis of exchange rate trendCan we have a big repair on Wednesday?

Foreign investment continues to increase.Listed companies can achieve extensive growth through mergers and acquisitions, and mergers and acquisitions have a positive effect on the overall share price of A-share listed companies as bidders. With the continuous increase of China's M&A support policies since 2024, the A-share market is expected to usher in a big era of M&A. The last merger and reorganization was so hot in 2014. Is this also a sign that the market will go bullish in the future?The General Office of the Shanghai Municipal People's Government issued the Action Plan for Shanghai to Support the Merger and Reorganization of Listed Companies (2025-2027). Among them, it is proposed to strive to land a number of representative M&A cases in key industries by 2027, and cultivate about 10 internationally competitive listed companies in key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine and new materials, forming a scale of M&A transactions of 300 billion yuan and activating total assets of over 2 trillion yuan.

After the exchange rate rushed to 7.314, it began to fluctuate and weaken. As we have told you many times before, the vicinity of 7.3 is heavily guarded, and the depreciation in this area is almost in place, and there is no room for further sharp depreciation. Some time ago, around 7.3, the market began to get nervous. Instead, we clearly told everyone that this was a good thing, because the direct depreciation was in place, and the subsequent appreciation expectation was formed. From the current situation, it is really difficult for the exchange rate to weaken further. At present, the daily level has entered a short-term adjustment trend, but we should focus on observing whether it can fall below 7.258 this week. Only when it falls below, the medium-term depreciation momentum can be ended, otherwise it will be repeated.It is not difficult to see from recent speeches and a series of policies that we are still very confident about the target of 5% this year. If it can be successfully completed, it will greatly enhance the confidence of the market. The biggest problem in the current market is not that retail investors don't believe that the market can go well. Even if retail investors do, there is nothing they can do. The key is that institutions don't believe that the market can go well and lack confidence in the future. Otherwise, the market will not go anticlimactic today. If domestic institutions don't continue to smash the market, the market will not go so ugly in the afternoon.